Publications

Financial Crises and the Selection and Survival of Women Finance Ministers

Women remain underrepresented in cabinets, especially in high-prestige, “masculine” portfolios. Still, a growing number of states have …

Brenna Armstrong, Tiffany D. Barnes, Daina Chiba, Diana Z. O'brien

Belief in Territorial Indivisibility and Public Preferences for Dispute Resolution

This study investigates how individuals may develop more or less strong beliefs in the indivisibility of a disputed territory and how …

Songying Fang, Xiaojun Li, Atsushi Tago, Daina Chiba

Military Coalitions and Crisis Duration

Forming a military coalition during an international crisis can improve a state’s chances of achieving its political goals. We argue …

Daina Chiba, Jesse C. Johnson

Colonial Legacy and Foreign Aid: Decomposing the Colonial Bias

It is well-known that donors give considerably more foreign aid to former colonies than to countries lacking past colonial ties. …

Daina Chiba, Tobias Heinrich

The Shape of Things to Come? Expanding the Inequality and Grievance Model for Civil War Forecasts with Event Data

We examine if dynamic information from event data can help improve on a model attempting to forecast civil war using measures …

Daina Chiba, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch

Careful Commitments: Democratic States and Alliance Design

Evidence suggests that leaders of democratic states experience high costs from violating past commitments. We argue that because …

Daina Chiba, Jesse C. Johnson, Brett Ashley Leeds

Every Story Has a Beginning, Middle, and an End (But Not Always in That Order): Predicting Duration Dynamics in a Unified Framework

There are three fundamental duration dynamics of civil conflicts: time until conflict onset, conflict duration, and time until conflict …

Daina Chiba, Nils W. Metternich, Michael D. Ward

A Copula Approach to the Problem of Selection Bias in Models of Government Survival

Theories of coalition politics in parliamentary democracies have suggested that government formation and survival are jointly …

Daina Chiba, Lanny W. Martin, Randolph T. Stevenson

Major Powers and Militarized Conflict

This article attempts to answer the question of why major powers engage in more active foreign policy behaviors than minor powers. It …

Daina Chiba, Carla Martinez Machain, William Reed

Institutional Opposition, Regime Accountability, and International Conflict

Can international organizations constrain a leader’s behavior during a military crisis? Existing studies have shown that joint …

Daina Chiba, Songying Fang

Decomposing the Relationship Between Contiguity and Militarized Conflict

It is well known that the majority of militarized conflicts and wars have been fought by neighbors. Yet, much remains to be learned …

William Reed, Daina Chiba